Research record2026Work in progress
Penumbra: closed-loop observation under measurement gaps in cross-border trade
How should a trade model represent settings where the equilibrium changes the observation system used to measure that equilibrium?
- Status
- Work in progress
- Role
- Sole author
- Authors
- Ian Helfrich
- Method
- economic measurement · observation feedback · theory design
- What this record does not establish
- The paper is in progress and reports no results yet.
A public manuscript is not yet available.
Abstract
Summary
A sole-authored theory paper asking how economic measurement should work when the act of observing changes what becomes visible.
Methods and notes
This sole-authored theory paper treats the observation of cross-border trade as a closed loop: the trade equilibrium changes the observation system used to measure it, and the act of observing changes what becomes visible.