Portugal Blended-Finance and Rural Development Stakeholder Map

Prepared for Katia Antunes, ahead of Lisbon fieldwork (Spring 2026). Author: Dr. Ian Helfrich.

This map exists so you do not walk into Lisbon spending the first week figuring out who hands money to whom. Read it once now, then again on the plane. The orgs are tiered by where they sit in the cash flow, not by prestige. Tier 1 is closest to the lending instrument design; Tier 6 is the people who write papers about whether the lending worked. You want both.

A note on names: I have not invented any individual contacts. Where you see a role title (Head of X, Director of Y), treat it as the office you should ask for at reception or search for on LinkedIn. Confirm the actual human before you email.


Tier 1: National Development Finance Institution

Banco Português de Fomento (BPF) / Portuguese Development Bank

  • What they do: National promotional bank, established in late 2020 by merger of IFD, PME Investimentos, SPGM, and Banco SOFID. Channels guarantees, co-investment, and concessional credit lines to SMEs, including rural and agri-food firms. Operates the Mutual Guarantee System (Sistema Nacional de Garantia Mútua) and counter-guarantees through Fundo de Contragarantia Mútuo.
  • Why she should care: This is the single most important interview on the trip. BPF is where blended-finance instruments get designed, priced, and pushed into the commercial banking network. Without their view you cannot describe how subsidy actually meets risk.
  • URL: https://www.bpfomento.pt
  • Who to ask for: Head of Rural and Agri-Food Programmes, or Director of Guarantee Instruments. Secondary target: Head of EU Funds Coordination (they coordinate with AD&C on co-financed lines). LinkedIn path: search “Banco Português de Fomento” then filter by Director / Head titles. Email pattern likely firstname.lastname@bpfomento.pt (confirm by finding one published address in a press release first).
  • Best question opener: “Walk me through how a guarantee on a rural SME loan moves from BPF design to a Crédito Agrícola branch decision. Where does the credit-risk discretion actually sit?”

Legacy bodies merged into BPF: IFD, PME Investimentos, SPGM, Banco SOFID

  • What they do (historically): IFD (Instituição Financeira de Desenvolvimento) ran EU-fund-backed development credit. PME Investimentos managed venture and mezzanine for SMEs. SPGM (Sociedade Portuguesa de Garantia Mútua) was the umbrella for mutual guarantee societies. Banco SOFID financed Portuguese firms abroad, including in Lusophone Africa.
  • Why she should care: Programs born under any of these names still exist as named lines inside BPF. If a 2015 evaluation report references “Linha IFD-PME Crescimento”, that money is still flowing, just relabeled. Understanding the legacy stack lets you read older policy documents without getting lost.
  • URL: Redirected into BPF; archived material at https://www.bpfomento.pt and via Wayback Machine for the old SPGM and IFD sites.
  • Who to ask for: Inside BPF, the Head of Legacy Programme Integration or whoever owns the SGM (Sistema de Garantia Mútua) instrument portfolio. The four regional mutual guarantee societies (Norgarante, Lisgarante, Garval, Agrogarante) still operate as separate cooperative entities under SPGM umbrella, and Agrogarante is the one focused on agriculture and rural.
  • Best question opener: “Which of the pre-2020 programmes are still active under their original eligibility rules, and which got rewritten when BPF absorbed them?”

Agrogarante / Sociedade de Garantia Mútua para o Sector Agro-pecuário

  • What they do (English: Mutual Guarantee Society for the Agricultural Sector): One of the four mutual guarantee societies under SPGM, specialised in agriculture, forestry, fisheries, agri-food processing. Issues guarantees that lower the collateral requirement and the interest rate on bank loans to rural producers.
  • Why she should care: This is the operational layer between BPF capital and the actual farmer. If you want to know how blended finance lands on a 30-hectare olive grove in Alentejo, Agrogarante writes the guarantee.
  • URL: https://www.agrogarante.pt
  • Who to ask for: Director of Operations or Head of Risk Analysis. Email pattern firstname.lastname@agrogarante.pt.
  • Best question opener: “What share of your guarantee portfolio is going to first-time borrowers versus repeat clients, and has that shifted with the PEPAC instruments?”

Tier 2: Public banks and retail rural lenders

Caixa Geral de Depósitos (CGD)

  • What they do: State-owned universal bank, largest in Portugal by assets. Operates a dense branch network including rural areas, and is the default counterparty for many public-finance pass-throughs.
  • Why she should care: CGD is where a lot of subsidised credit physically gets disbursed. They also publish reasonable economic studies through their internal research unit (Gabinete de Estudos Económicos).
  • URL: https://www.cgd.pt
  • Who to ask for: Head of Agribusiness Banking, or Director of Public-Sector Partnerships. The research office is led by a Chief Economist. Email pattern firstname.lastname@cgd.pt.
  • Best question opener: “When BPF launches a new guaranteed credit line, what does the internal CGD process look like before a branch officer can actually approve a loan under it?”

Crédito Agrícola Mútuo (CCAM) / Grupo Crédito Agrícola

  • What they do (English: Mutual Agricultural Credit): Cooperative banking group of roughly 80 local mutual banks (Caixas de Crédito Agrícola Mútuo) federated under Caixa Central. Historically the rural and agricultural lender, present in towns where no other bank has a branch.
  • Why she should care: If your research is about rural blended finance, this is the rural side of the equation. The local CCAMs make the granular credit decision. Their cooperative structure means lending decisions are partly governed by member-farmers, which changes the political economy of who gets subsidised credit.
  • URL: https://www.creditoagricola.pt
  • Who to ask for: At Caixa Central level, Director of Agricultural Credit or Head of Institutional Relations. At a local CCAM, the Diretor de Agência (branch director). For research-facing contact, the Gabinete de Estudos at Caixa Central.
  • Best question opener: “When the same farmer could in principle borrow from a local CCAM or from CGD under the same BPF-guaranteed line, what predicts which one they actually walk into?”

Tier 3: EU-side institutions with Lisbon presence

European Investment Bank (EIB), Lisbon Office

  • What they do: EU long-term lending institution. Lends directly to Portuguese public-sector projects and on-lends to Portuguese banks (including BPF and CGD) for downstream SME and rural disbursement. Roughly EUR 1.5-2.5 billion per year of new signatures in Portugal in recent years.
  • Why she should care: EIB sits one level above BPF in the funding stack. Their loans frequently carry policy conditionality that shapes what BPF can do.
  • URL: https://www.eib.org (Lisbon contact via the Portugal country page)
  • Who to ask for: Head of the EIB Group Office in Lisbon, or the EIB Loan Officer covering Portugal SMEs and Mid-Caps. The EIB also has an Advisory Hub presence.
  • Best question opener: “Where do you see the binding constraint on rural SME lending in Portugal: BPF’s risk appetite, the commercial banks’ origination capacity, or eligible-project pipeline?”

European Investment Fund (EIF)

  • What they do: EIB Group’s specialised vehicle for SME finance. Provides guarantees and equity-fund-of-funds investments. Through InvestEU and predecessor programmes (COSME, EaSI), EIF guarantees flow into Portuguese banks, often layered with BPF and AD&C resources.
  • Why she should care: The InvestEU guarantee stack is the biggest source of leverage in the system. If you want to know how a euro of EU budget becomes seven euros of rural credit, EIF runs the multiplier math.
  • URL: https://www.eif.org
  • Who to ask for: EIF Mandate Manager covering Portugal, or Senior Investment Officer in the Guarantees, Securitisation and Microfinance division. EIF rarely staffs a separate Lisbon office, so the contact is typically Luxembourg-based but happy to take Lisbon meetings.
  • Best question opener: “Which InvestEU windows have actually been deployed at scale in Portugal so far, and which exist on paper but have not absorbed allocations?”

European Commission Representation in Portugal (covers DG REGIO and DG AGRI matters)

  • What they do: The Commission’s Lisbon representation is the diplomatic and communications front of the EU. For technical matters on cohesion funds and agriculture, the relevant DG REGIO and DG AGRI desk officers sit in Brussels but maintain regular liaison with Lisbon counterparts at AD&C and IFAP.
  • Why she should care: The Lisbon Representation is your easiest door to ask “who in Brussels should I email about Portugal’s CAP Strategic Plan.” They can route you.
  • URL: https://portugal.representation.ec.europa.eu
  • Who to ask for: Head of the Economic Section, or the Policy Officer for Cohesion and Agriculture.
  • Best question opener: “Where in the Portugal CAP Strategic Plan have you seen the largest gap between Brussels intent and on-the-ground implementation?”

Tier 4: National government bodies

Ministério da Agricultura e Alimentação / Ministry of Agriculture and Food

  • What they do: Cabinet-level ministry. Sets national agricultural policy, negotiates the Portuguese position on CAP reform, oversees IFAP, GPP, and DGADR.
  • Why she should care: The minister’s office sets which strategic priorities (irrigation, generational renewal, organic transition) get instrument design priority. Useful as political context but typically not where granular instrument detail lives.
  • URL: https://www.portugal.gov.pt/pt/gc24/area-de-governo/agricultura-e-alimentacao
  • Who to ask for: Adviser to the Secretary of State for Agriculture, or Head of the Minister’s Cabinet (Chefe de Gabinete). For technical interviews, redirect to GPP or DGADR.
  • Best question opener: “What does the Ministry consider the most binding constraint on rural credit absorption in the current PEPAC cycle?”

GPP / Gabinete de Planeamento, Políticas e Administração Geral (Office of Planning, Policies and General Administration)

  • What they do: The policy, planning, and evaluation arm inside the Ministry of Agriculture. Runs impact evaluations of CAP measures, publishes statistical reports, and supports CAP Strategic Plan design.
  • Why she should care: If you want a counterpart who reads econometric papers and runs evaluation methodology conversations, GPP is the one. They commission ex-ante and ex-post evaluations of the PEPAC.
  • URL: https://www.gpp.pt
  • Who to ask for: Director of Evaluation and Studies (Diretor da Direção de Serviços de Estatística e Análise Económica, or the unit head responsible for CAP evaluation). Email pattern firstname.lastname@gpp.pt.
  • Best question opener: “Which evaluation methodologies has GPP applied to credit-related CAP measures, and where do you see the cleanest natural experiment in the data?”

IFAP / Instituto de Financiamento da Agricultura e Pescas (Institute for Financing of Agriculture and Fisheries)

  • What they do: National paying agency for CAP funds (both EAGF Pillar 1 direct payments and EAFRD Pillar 2 rural development). Disburses on the order of EUR 1.0-1.3 billion per year across Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 combined, of which Pillar 2 (rural development) is typically EUR 400-700 million per year depending on the cycle.
  • Why she should care: IFAP holds the disbursement microdata. Every euro of CAP that touches a Portuguese farmer goes through their ledger. If your research uses administrative data, this is the gatekeeper.
  • URL: https://www.ifap.pt
  • Who to ask for: Director of Information Systems for data access protocol; Director of Aid Management (Direção de Gestão de Ajudas) for substantive instrument questions.
  • Best question opener: “What does the formal process look like for an academic researcher to request anonymised disbursement microdata, and what has IFAP shared with researchers in the past?”

AD&C / Agência para o Desenvolvimento e Coesão (Agency for Development and Cohesion)

  • What they do: National managing authority for EU structural and investment funds. Runs Portugal 2030 (the current programming period), formerly Portugal 2020. Coordinates ERDF, ESF+, Cohesion Fund, Just Transition Fund. Roughly EUR 22-23 billion in EU funds programmed for Portugal across 2021-2027.
  • Why she should care: AD&C is the program-architect layer. They negotiated the Partnership Agreement with the Commission and decided how funds were split across national thematic OPs and regional OPs. If you want to know why a given instrument exists, AD&C drafted the regulation.
  • URL: https://www.adcoesao.pt
  • Who to ask for: Head of the Competitiveness OP, or Head of the Territorial Cohesion Unit. For blended-finance instruments specifically, Head of Financial Instruments (they coordinate with BPF on fund-of-funds structures).
  • Best question opener: “When AD&C designed financial instruments under Portugal 2030 instead of straight grants, what was the binding argument internally for moving to a guarantee or equity structure?”

DGADR / Direção-Geral de Agricultura e Desenvolvimento Rural (Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development)

  • What they do: Technical directorate inside the Ministry of Agriculture. Owns rural development policy implementation at national level, including LEADER program coordination, agri-environmental measures, and farm modernisation schemes.
  • Why she should care: DGADR sits between policy (Ministry, GPP) and payment (IFAP) for rural development. They are the people who write the operational manual for a given CAP measure.
  • URL: https://www.dgadr.gov.pt
  • Who to ask for: Director of Rural Development Programmes, or Head of LEADER Coordination Unit. Email pattern firstname.lastname@dgadr.gov.pt.
  • Best question opener: “How does DGADR coordinate with the GALs on LEADER fund allocation, and where does national-level discretion override local strategy?”

Tier 5: Regional and local

CCDR / Comissões de Coordenação e Desenvolvimento Regional (Regional Coordination and Development Commissions)

The five regional managing authorities for ERDF and ESF+ on the Portuguese mainland. (The Azores and Madeira have their own autonomous-region managing authorities.) Each CCDR runs a regional Operational Programme.

  • CCDR-N (Norte) (https://www.ccdr-n.pt). Largest, covers Porto and the densely-populated North. Rural pockets in Trás-os-Montes and Alto Minho.

  • CCDR-C (Centro) (https://www.ccdrc.pt). Coimbra to Castelo Branco; large rural and depopulating interior.

  • CCDR-LVT (Lisboa e Vale do Tejo) (https://www.ccdr-lvt.pt). Lisbon metro and the Tagus valley; classified as “more developed region” so different EU co-financing rates apply.

  • CCDR-A (Alentejo) (https://www.ccdr-a.gov.pt). Large, low-density, agricultural; politically the heartland for rural CAP politics.

  • CCDR-Alg (Algarve) (https://www.ccdr-alg.pt). Smallest, tourism-dominated, but with significant agri-food in the interior.

  • What they do: Each CCDR is the regional managing authority for its respective ROP under Portugal 2030. They select projects, sign grant contracts, monitor implementation, and certify expenditure to AD&C.

  • Why she should care: The CCDRs hold the dossier-level data on who got what regional money. If two regions ran very similar instruments and got different outcomes, the cross-region comparison is your identification strategy.

  • Who to ask for at each CCDR: Director of the Operational Programme Management Unit, or Head of Project Selection. For evaluation-flavoured conversations, Head of Monitoring and Evaluation.

  • Best question opener (any CCDR): “Where in your ROP have you seen demand outstrip allocation, and where has allocation outstripped demand? What does that tell you about local absorption capacity?”

CIM / Comunidades Intermunicipais (Inter-Municipal Communities)

  • What they do: Twenty-one inter-municipal associations on the mainland, plus two metropolitan areas (AML Lisboa, AMP Porto). They pool planning capacity across small municipalities and increasingly receive direct programming responsibility for certain EU-funded instruments, especially ITIs (Investimentos Territoriais Integrados).
  • Why she should care: For rural research, CIMs in low-density interior regions (CIM Beiras e Serra da Estrela, CIM Alto Tâmega, CIM Terras de Trás-os-Montes, CIM Baixo Alentejo) are the operational layer where territorial strategies get written.
  • URL: Each CIM has its own site. Aggregator: https://www.portugal2030.pt
  • Who to ask for: Secretário Executivo (Executive Secretary) of the CIM, or Head of EU Funds Coordination.
  • Best question opener: “When the CIM writes a territorial strategy that competes for ITI funds, where does that document actually get debated before it becomes the official position?”

GAL / Grupos de Ação Local (Local Action Groups)

  • What they do: Public-private partnerships at sub-regional level that implement the LEADER approach within EAFRD Pillar 2. There are 53 GALs on the Portuguese mainland (plus separate ones in the Azores and Madeira). Each manages a Local Development Strategy (Estratégia de Desenvolvimento Local) with a fixed envelope of rural development funds.
  • Why she should care: GALs are the smallest disbursement unit in the system. They approve micro-projects (farm diversification, rural tourism, small agri-food processing) directly. The political economy is dense: GAL boards typically mix municipal officials, farmer associations, and local NGOs.

Specific GALs to know: - Adraces (Associação para o Desenvolvimento da Raia Centro-Sul). Covers Beira Baixa, Castelo Branco area. https://www.adraces.pt - Adrimag (Associação de Desenvolvimento Rural Integrado das Serras de Montemuro, Arada e Gralheira). Aveiro hinterland and Arouca. https://www.adrimag.com.pt - Adrirn (Trás-os-Montes area). The exact acronym spelling and current legal name vary across registries. Confirm via the GAL directory on the IFAP site and the Rede Rural Nacional listing before contacting.

  • Who to ask for at any GAL: Coordenador (Coordinator) or Diretor Executivo. For research-flavoured questions, request a meeting with the Coordenador and ask in advance to see a recent annual report.
  • Best question opener: “Of the project applications you received in the last call, what share were viable on technical merit but unfunded for budget reasons, and what does that say about latent demand?”

Tier 6: Academia and think tanks

Universidade Católica Portuguesa, CATÓLICA-LISBON School of Business and Economics

  • What they do: One of the strongest applied microeconomics departments in Portugal. Faculty with active work on credit constraints, SME finance, and labour. If a Portuguese academic has published in a top-five journal on rural credit, there is a high chance they sit here or at Nova SBE.
  • Why she should care: This is the most plausible local academic anchor for a research project on rural blended finance. They host visitors and run seminars.
  • URL: https://www.clsbe.lisboa.ucp.pt
  • Who to ask for: Faculty in the Economics or Finance groups working on credit and small firms. Pedro Martins (labour economics, has worked on SME issues) is one name to investigate; confirm current affiliation and topic fit before reaching out. The Department Chair or the Research Office is the formal entry point.
  • Best question opener: “Who in Lisbon do you think writes the most useful empirical work on Portuguese rural credit, and what is the most recent piece of that literature I should read before we talk?”

ISEG / Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Universidade de Lisboa (Lisbon School of Economics and Management)

  • What they do: The historic economics faculty at the University of Lisbon. Strong on development economics, agricultural economics, and economic history. Hosts CSG (Centro de Estudos sobre Globalização e Governação) and other research units.
  • Why she should care: ISEG has a longer tradition than Católica or Nova on specifically agricultural and rural economics, and several researchers there work on CAP evaluation.
  • URL: https://www.iseg.ulisboa.pt
  • Who to ask for: Faculty in the Agricultural Economics or Development Economics groups. The CEsA (Centre for African, Asian and Latin American Studies) and CSG research units list affiliated researchers on their pages.
  • Best question opener: “What is the current state of CAP impact evaluation in Portuguese academic work, and which datasets are people actually using?”

Universidade do Minho (Braga / Guimarães)

  • What they do: Northern public university. Economics and management research with applied work on regional economics, SMEs, and (selectively) agricultural economics. NIPE (Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas) is the research unit.
  • Why she should care: For the Northern region perspective and a counterweight to Lisbon-centric framing, Minho is the natural choice.
  • URL: https://www.uminho.pt and https://nipe.eeg.uminho.pt
  • Who to ask for: NIPE Director, or Head of the Applied Economics group.
  • Best question opener: “How does the Northern rural economy differ in its credit dynamics from the Alentejo, in your view, and what data lets you see that?”

ISCTE (Instituto Universitário de Lisboa)

  • What they do: Lisbon university with strong applied social science. Business School with finance research. Public-policy research at CIES-IUL and DINÂMIA’CET-IUL.
  • Why she should care: ISCTE’s DINÂMIA’CET-IUL runs work on territorial development and inequality that complements the strict-finance perspective of Católica and the agricultural lens of ISEG.
  • URL: https://www.iscte-iul.pt and https://dinamiacet.iscte-iul.pt
  • Who to ask for: A senior researcher at DINÂMIA’CET-IUL working on regional development. The Research Office can route you.
  • Best question opener: “Where does DINÂMIA’CET-IUL see the largest gap between territorial-development rhetoric and what actually gets funded?”

Centro de Estudos Geográficos / CEG-IGOT (Universidade de Lisboa)

  • What they do: Geography research centre at IGOT (Instituto de Geografia e Ordenamento do Território). Strong on rural geography, depopulation, and territorial cohesion.
  • Why she should care: For the spatial-heterogeneity framing of rural finance (which firms are reached, which are not, and what predicts that geographically), CEG-IGOT is the right interlocutor.
  • URL: https://www.ceg.ulisboa.pt
  • Who to ask for: A senior researcher in the Rural Studies or Regional Planning research group.
  • Best question opener: “When you map rural credit access against demographic decline, what are the patterns that surprise you most?”

Banco de Portugal Economics Department / Departamento de Estudos Económicos

  • What they do: Research arm of the central bank. Publishes the Economic Bulletin, working paper series, and the Financial Stability Report. Significant work on Portuguese SME credit, bank lending behaviour, and the Central Credit Register (Central de Responsabilidades de Crédito).
  • Why she should care: Banco de Portugal holds the Central Credit Register, which is the closest thing in Portugal to a near-universal credit microdataset. Their researchers know the data and have written on credit reallocation, SME constraints, and bank-firm matching.
  • URL: https://www.bportugal.pt
  • Who to ask for: A research economist in the Microeconomic Studies division. For data access, the BPLIM (Banco de Portugal Microdata Research Laboratory) has a formal application process.
  • Best question opener: “Has anyone at BPLIM used the Central Credit Register to study rural-versus-urban credit access, and what does the data look like for that question?”

Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian

  • What they do: Major Portuguese philanthropic foundation. Funds research, scholarships, and development projects, including a long-running interest in territorial cohesion and rural development.
  • Why she should care: If her work eventually needs a Portuguese funder or convening venue, Gulbenkian is the obvious target. They also commission policy reports that are useful secondary sources.
  • URL: https://gulbenkian.pt
  • Who to ask for: Programme Director for Sustainable Development, or the Director of the Foundation’s research-funding programmes.
  • Best question opener: “What gaps in Portuguese rural-development research has the Foundation identified that nobody is funding well?”

A. The PT 2030 / EU-fund stack

European Commission (DG REGIO, DG EMPL, DG AGRI for the rural development envelope) sets the regulation and signs the Partnership Agreement with Portugal. From there, money flows to AD&C, the national managing authority, which programmes the Portugal 2030 envelope across thematic and regional Operational Programmes. AD&C delegates regional ROPs to the five mainland CCDRs (and the autonomous-region managing authorities for Azores and Madeira), each of which selects projects within its territory. Below CCDR sits the implementation layer: CIMs receive Integrated Territorial Investments (ITIs), GALs implement Community-Led Local Development for rural areas, and individual municipal or beneficiary entities sign grant contracts. Final rural recipients (a small agri-food processor, a tourism cooperative, a forest-owners’ association) receive a disbursement after each layer above has applied its own eligibility filter, scoring grid, and administrative decision. Each layer adds delay and adds discretion; the same euro that started in Brussels arrives at the beneficiary having passed through four sets of policy choices.

B. The CAP Pillar 2 stack

The Common Agricultural Policy has two pillars. Pillar 1 is direct payments to farmers, financed by EAGF (European Agricultural Guarantee Fund). Pillar 2 is the rural development pillar, financed by EAFRD (European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development). EAFRD money flows from the Commission to Portugal’s national paying agency, IFAP, which disburses under the instruments defined in the national PEPAC (Plano Estratégico da PAC, Portugal’s CAP Strategic Plan for the 2023-2027 cycle). PEPAC instruments include farm modernisation aid, agri-environmental payments, young-farmer installation grants, LEADER funds disbursed through the GALs, and risk-management tools. The final applicants are farmers, cooperatives, GALs themselves on their operating budgets, or project promoters under LEADER. DGADR writes the operational rules; GPP evaluates the outcomes; IFAP signs the cheque.

C. The “most useful first call” shortlist for Katia

Rank-ordered, email this week:

  1. GPP (Gabinete de Planeamento, Políticas e Administração Geral). They run impact evaluations on exactly the instruments she cares about and will read an econometrics-flavoured email seriously. Lowest activation energy, highest informational return.
  2. Banco Português de Fomento, Head of Rural and Agri-Food Programmes. The blended-finance design layer. Without this conversation the thesis has a missing chapter. Expect a slower response; email first, follow up after a week.
  3. IFAP, Director of Information Systems (data access track) plus Director of Aid Management (substantive). Two parallel requests because data access is slow and substantive interview is faster.
  4. Crédito Agrícola, Caixa Central Gabinete de Estudos. The rural retail lender side. Ask for an interview with a Caixa Central researcher and, separately, a meeting at one local CCAM in a rural region she will visit.
  5. A senior researcher at Católica-Lisbon or ISEG working on credit and small firms. Academic anchor and reference point. Ask them to recommend the two best recent Portuguese papers on rural credit before the meeting.

Send all five this week. Expect roughly three replies; that is enough to anchor the trip. Re-send to the silent two with a one-line nudge after seven days. Bring physical business cards. The Portuguese institutional sector still values them.